{"id":10491,"date":"2016-04-25T08:55:07","date_gmt":"2016-04-25T06:55:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=10491"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:50","slug":"monitor-rynku-surowcowego-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitor rynku surowcowego"},"content":{"rendered":"

Miniony tydzie\u0144 up\u0142yn\u0105\u0142 pod dyktando dw\u00f3ch wydarze\u0144, mianowicie ogromnych wzrost\u00f3w na rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych<\/a> – spowodowanych zar\u00f3wno przez czynniki pogodowe jak i twarde fundamenty (oraz p\u00f3\u017aniejsze wymazanie tego ruchu) – a tak\u017ce odbijaj\u0105cej ceny ropy naftowej, kt\u00f3ra po posiedzeniu w Doha zanotowa\u0142a jeden z lepszych tygodni w ostatnim czasie, co z reszt\u0105 nie by\u0142o wielkim zaskoczeniem dla mnie zgodnie z tym, o czym pisa\u0142em w komentarzu po tym\u017ce wydarzeniu<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Bie\u017c\u0105cy tydzie\u0144 b\u0119dzie sprzyja\u0142 pewnemu wyciszeniu z racji do\u015b\u0107 ubogiego kalendarza publikacji. Niemniej jednak, inwestorzy na rynku zb\u00f3\u017c powinni wci\u0105\u017c zachowa\u0107 czujno\u015b\u0107 na doniesienia pogodowe, kt\u00f3re ostatnimi czasy mocno namiesza\u0142y w cenach bazowych surowc\u00f3w rolnych. Poza tym, najistotniejsz\u0105 publikacj\u0105 w tym tygodniu b\u0119dzie dzisiejszy odczyt w kwestii zmiany jako\u015bci w klasyfikacji zb\u00f3\u017c.<\/p>\n

\"<\/a>
\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o: InsiderFX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ostatni tydzie\u0144 przyni\u00f3s\u0142 spadek jako\u015bci najlepszego sortu pszenicy ozimej, co sk\u0142oni\u0142o inwestor\u00f3w do wzmo\u017conego zakupu surowca. W tym miejscu warto r\u00f3wnie\u017c podkre\u015bli\u0107, \u017ce ostatnie zwy\u017cki cen soi, kukurydzy i pszenicy zosta\u0142y mocno zredukowane podczas dw\u00f3ch ostatnich sesji w zesz\u0142ym tygodniu. Jednak\u017ce najmniej ucierpia\u0142 rynek soi, co zdaje si\u0119 zgodne z obecnymi fundamentami dla wszystkich trzech rodzaj\u00f3w zb\u00f3\u017c.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Quo vadis AUD? Czynniki wspieraj\u0105ce a trwa\u0142o\u015b\u0107 wzrost\u00f3w<\/a><\/p>\n

W kwestii rynku kukurydzy warto r\u00f3wnie\u017c doda\u0107, \u017ce ostatni raport (publikacja w zesz\u0142y poniedzia\u0142ek) pokaza\u0142, i\u017c tempo zasiew\u00f3w zbo\u017ca jest o 5% wi\u0119ksze ni\u017c 5-letnia \u015brednia, co wynika\u0142o g\u0142\u00f3wnie z korzystnych warunk\u00f3w pogodowych, sprzyjaj\u0105cych pracom polowym. Niemniej pi\u0105tkowe prognozy wskazuj\u0105 na mo\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107 wi\u0119kszej ilo\u015bci opad\u00f3w, powy\u017cej normy wraz z bardzo kr\u00f3tkimi okresami bez deszczu. St\u0105d te\u017c mo\u017cna przypuszcza\u0107, \u017ce mo\u017ce to zak\u0142\u00f3ci\u0107 szybkie tempo zasiew\u00f3w, a przez to zwi\u0119kszy\u0107 obawy (gdyby zak\u0142\u00f3cenie to okaza\u0142o si\u0119 bardziej trwa\u0142e) o jako\u015b\u0107 przysz\u0142ych zbior\u00f3w. Czynnikiem wspieraj\u0105cym ceny kukurydzy w poprzednim tygodniu by\u0142y r\u00f3wnie\u017c doniesienia z RPA<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Z punktu widzenia rynku mleka i z\u0142ota ten tydzie\u0144 b\u0119dzie wolny od jakichkolwiek nowych raport\u00f3w, za\u015b w przypadku czarnego z\u0142ota poznamy cotygodniowe wielko\u015bci o zapasach i liczbie aktywnych wie\u017c. Pi\u0105tkowy raport autorstwa Baker Hughes ukaza\u0142 kolejny spadek w liczbie wie\u017c (-8), co jest zgodne z oczekiwaniami, na bazie kt\u00f3rych (mi\u0119dzy innymi) antycypowa\u0142em wzrost\u00f3w cen ropy ju\u017c w lutym<\/a>. Wci\u0105\u017c nale\u017cy podkre\u015bla\u0107, \u017ce utrzymanie tego trendu wraz z malej\u0105c\u0105 permanentnie, cho\u0107 w niewielkim stopniu, produkcj\u0105 surowca w USA powinno by\u0107 \u015brednioterminowym wsparciem dla ceny.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Dlaczego przysz\u0142o\u015b\u0107 szwedzkiej korony wygl\u0105da obiecuj\u0105co? (okazja inwestycyjna)<\/a><\/p>\n

Poza tym warto odnotowa\u0107, \u017ce pomimo fiaska posiedzenia w Doha spekulanci zwi\u0119kszali pr\u0119\u017cnie swoje pozycje d\u0142ugie netto z poziomu 289,2 tys. kontrakt\u00f3w do 334,2 tys. kontrakt\u00f3w w tygodniu zako\u0144czonym 19 kwietnia. Pokazuje to jasno, \u017ce uczestnicy rynku nie postrzegali pora\u017cki w Katarze jako czynnika, kt\u00f3ry mo\u017ce bardziej znacz\u0105co wp\u0142yn\u0105\u0107 na perspektyw\u0119 rynku ropy w \u015brednim okresie.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Miniony tydzie\u0144 up\u0142yn\u0105\u0142 pod dyktando dw\u00f3ch wydarze\u0144, mianowicie ogromnych wzrost\u00f3w na rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych – spowodowanych zar\u00f3wno przez czynniki pogodowe jak i twarde fundamenty (oraz p\u00f3\u017aniejsze wymazanie tego ruchu) – a tak\u017ce odbijaj\u0105cej ceny ropy naftowej, kt\u00f3ra po posiedzeniu w Doha zanotowa\u0142a jeden z lepszych tygodni w ostatnim czasie, co z reszt\u0105 nie by\u0142o wielkim […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nMonitor rynku surowcowego - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Miniony tydzie\u0144 up\u0142yn\u0105\u0142 pod dyktando dw\u00f3ch wydarze\u0144, mianowicie ogromnych wzrost\u00f3w na rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych - 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