{"id":10819,"date":"2016-06-20T07:39:26","date_gmt":"2016-06-20T05:39:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=10819"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:45","slug":"monitor-rynku-surowcowego-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-20\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitor rynku surowcowego"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cho\u0107 w tym tygodniu wydarzeniem numer jeden b\u0119dzie brytyjskie referendum, kt\u00f3rego wyniki mog\u0105 by\u0107 g\u0142\u00f3wnym sterownikiem waha\u0144 cen wszystkich klas aktyw\u00f3w<\/a>, to nie wolno zapomina\u0107 r\u00f3wnie\u017c o innych publikacjach, kt\u00f3re wr\u00f3c\u0105 do \u0142ask, kiedy kurz wok\u00f3\u0142 Brexitu opadnie.<\/p>\n

Poprzedni tydzie\u0144 przyni\u00f3s\u0142 nam publikacje przede wszystkim dla rynku ropy naftowej, gdzie jednak nie mieli\u015bmy wi\u0119kszych zmian w perspektywie fundamentalnej. Jednak zar\u00f3wno raport OPEC jak i IEA okaza\u0142y si\u0119 lekko pozytywne dla ceny surowca, kt\u00f3ra w ca\u0142ym tygodniu pi\u0119\u0142a si\u0119 g\u00f3r\u0119. OPEC wspomnia\u0142 mi\u0119dzy innymi, \u017ce nadpoda\u017c ropy ma wci\u0105\u017c zanika\u0107, za\u015b nieprzewidywane przestoje produkcji w Kanadzie i Nigerii skutkowa\u0142y tym, \u017ce popyt z poda\u017c\u0105 znalaz\u0142y si\u0119 bli\u017cej siebie wcze\u015bniej ni\u017c wielu oczekiwa\u0142o.<\/p>\n

Z kolei IEA zrewidowa\u0142a w g\u00f3r\u0119 swoj\u0105 prognoz\u0119 przyrostu popytu na rynku ropy o 100 tys. bpd do 1.3 mln bpd w obecnym roku (wzrost popytu w pierwszej po\u0142owie 2016 roku wyni\u00f3s\u0142 1.6 mln bpd). Rosn\u0105cy popyt ma by\u0107 kierowany g\u0142\u00f3wnie przez rynki wschodz\u0105ce takie jak Indie i Chiny, w miar\u0119 poprawy sytuacji sektora przemys\u0142owego.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Szanse i ryzyka na rynku GBPUSD przed referendum<\/a><\/p>\n

Pr\u00f3cz tego z rynku zb\u00f3\u017c poznali\u015bmy tygodniow\u0105 publikacj\u0119 o jako\u015bci upraw w USA. Niespodzianek nie by\u0142o, zar\u00f3wno uprawy pszenicy jak i soi wci\u0105\u017c maj\u0105 si\u0119 \u015bwietnie. W obydwu przypadkach 3\/4 upraw klasyfikowana by\u0142a w klasie dobrej do wy\u015bmienitej, co zw\u0142aszcza w kontek\u015bcie soi oznacza warto\u015b\u0107 o 7pp powy\u017cej warto\u015bci z poprzedniego roku.<\/p>\n

Ponadto, dla rynku kukurydzy liczy\u0142y si\u0119 doniesienia z Brazylii<\/a>, kt\u00f3re wraz z ostatnim raportem USDA<\/a> mog\u0105 kreowa\u0107 rodz\u0105c\u0105 si\u0119 powoli okazj\u0119 inwestycyjn\u0105. Dodatkowo wspomnie\u0107 nale\u017cy o \u017cniwach pszenicy w USA, kt\u00f3re przybieraj\u0105 tempa, kieruj\u0105c si\u0119 na bardziej na p\u00f3\u0142noc. W tej chwili nastroje rolnik\u00f3w s\u0105 bardzo dobre z racji du\u017cej wydajno\u015bci zbior\u00f3w, co mo\u017ce naturalnie ci\u0105\u017cy\u0107 cenie tego gatunku zbo\u017ca.<\/p>\n

\"\u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o:<\/a>
\u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o: InsiderFX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Z rynku mleka odnotowa\u0107 nale\u017cy aukcj\u0119 mleka na GDT, kt\u00f3ra jednak min\u0119\u0142o bez historii. Cena sproszkowanego mleka spad\u0142a o blisko -4%, co jednak nie mia\u0142o wi\u0119kszego wp\u0142yw na notowania dolara nowozelandzkiego. W tym tygodniu dla trader\u00f3w na rynku samego surowca i aktyw\u00f3w powi\u0105zanych liczy\u0107 si\u0119 b\u0119dzie wtorkowy raport o produkcji mleka w USA.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Analiza fundamentalna w praktyce \u2013 om\u00f3wienie rynku ropy<\/a><\/p>\n

W kwietniu w uj\u0119ciu rocznym tempo produkcji wzros\u0142o 1,2%. Warto odnotowa\u0107 r\u00f3wnie\u017c, \u017ce produkcja w przeliczeniu na sztuk\u0119 krowy mlecznej wzros\u0142a w analogicznym okresie do najwy\u017cszego poziomu od 2003 roku. Zwi\u0119kszy\u0142o si\u0119 r\u00f3wnie\u017c pog\u0142owie zwierz\u0105t. To wszystko sprawia, \u017ce dynamika od pocz\u0105tku roku jest zdecydowanie wi\u0119ksza w por\u00f3wnaniu do 2015.<\/p>\n

\"Tempo<\/a>
Tempo produkcji mleka w 2015 i 2016, \u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o: USDA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Dane te mog\u0105 mie\u0107 du\u017ce prze\u0142o\u017cenie na ca\u0142\u0105 bran\u017c\u0119, gdy\u017c USA jest drugim na \u015bwiecie (po Unii Europejskiej) producentem mleka. Dodatkowo pr\u00f3cz danych z rynku nabia\u0142u otrzymamy zwyczajowe raporty dla ropy naftowej jak i zb\u00f3\u017c.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cho\u0107 w tym tygodniu wydarzeniem numer jeden b\u0119dzie brytyjskie referendum, kt\u00f3rego wyniki mog\u0105 by\u0107 g\u0142\u00f3wnym sterownikiem waha\u0144 cen wszystkich klas aktyw\u00f3w, to nie wolno zapomina\u0107 r\u00f3wnie\u017c o innych publikacjach, kt\u00f3re wr\u00f3c\u0105 do \u0142ask, kiedy kurz wok\u00f3\u0142 Brexitu opadnie. Poprzedni tydzie\u0144 przyni\u00f3s\u0142 nam publikacje przede wszystkim dla rynku ropy naftowej, gdzie jednak nie mieli\u015bmy wi\u0119kszych zmian […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nMonitor rynku surowcowego - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Cho\u0107 w tym tygodniu wydarzeniem numer jeden b\u0119dzie brytyjskie referendum, kt\u00f3rego wyniki mog\u0105 by\u0107 g\u0142\u00f3wnym sterownikiem waha\u0144 cen wszystkich klas aktyw\u00f3w,\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-20\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monitor rynku surowcowego - 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