{"id":10992,"date":"2016-07-20T11:10:07","date_gmt":"2016-07-20T09:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=10992"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:44","slug":"rynek-zboz-w-odwrocie-i-ciekawy-uklad-na-soi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/rynek-zboz-w-odwrocie-i-ciekawy-uklad-na-soi\/","title":{"rendered":"Rynek zb\u00f3\u017c w odwrocie i ciekawy uk\u0142ad na soi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Podczas ostatnich kilku sesji notowania surowc\u00f3w rolnych ponownie znalaz\u0142y si\u0119 pod presj\u0105 poda\u017cow\u0105. Niemniej jednak, bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 ostatni raport USDA<\/a> nale\u017cy oczekiwa\u0107, \u017ce ceny soi w dalszym ci\u0105gu nie powinny do\u015bwiadcza\u0107 wi\u0119kszej wyprzeda\u017cy.<\/p>\n

Z drugiej strony ostatnie publikacje nie pomagaj\u0105, prowadz\u0105c do pewnej korekty, kt\u00f3ra jednak powinny by\u0107 raczej wykorzystywana do akumulacji pozycji d\u0142ugich. W pierwszej kolejno\u015bci, w poniedzia\u0142ek poznali\u015bmy cotygodniowy raport dotycz\u0105cy kondycji upraw, kt\u00f3ry pokaza\u0142, \u017ce 76% upraw kukurydzy znajduje si\u0119 w dobre do wy\u015bmienitej kondycji. Co prawda jest to to\u017csama warto\u015b\u0107 jak w tygodniu ubieg\u0142ym, jednak\u017ce w poprzednim roku o tej porze warto\u015b\u0107 ta wynosi\u0142a tylko 69%.<\/p>\n

To oczywi\u015bcie zwi\u0119ksza perspektyw\u0119 zbior\u00f3w tego zbo\u017ca przybijaj\u0105c ceny, nawet maj\u0105c na uwadze niedawne problemy poda\u017cowe Brazylii<\/a>. Ponadto, ostatnie tygodnie charakteryzowa\u0142y si\u0119 ciep\u0142\u0105 i wilgotn\u0105 aur\u0105 pogodow\u0105<\/a>, co tak\u017ce nie by\u0142o bez znaczenia i pozytywnie wp\u0142yn\u0119\u0142o na jako\u015b\u0107 ziarna, a co za tym idzie na mo\u017cliwie wi\u0119ksze zbiory. To wszystko, wraz z twardymi danymi makro<\/a> publikowanymi w kolejnych raportach sprawia, i\u017c ceny kukurydzy nie maj\u0105 fundamentalnych podstaw do wzrost\u00f3w (nale\u017cy jednak mie\u0107 na uwadze zale\u017cno\u015b\u0107 w zmianie cen we wszystkich trzech g\u0142\u00f3wnych rodzajach zb\u00f3\u017c, st\u0105d kr\u00f3tkoterminowe ruchy zwy\u017ckowe nie mog\u0105 zosta\u0107 wykluczone).<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Dlaczego warto sprzedawa\u0107 NZDUSD?<\/a><\/p>\n

R\u00f3wnie\u017c spor\u0105 rozbie\u017cno\u015b\u0107 w danych mamy w przypadku soi. USDA zaraportowa\u0142a ostatnio, \u017ce a\u017c 71% upraw znajduje si\u0119 w doskona\u0142ej kondycji w por\u00f3wnaniu z warto\u015bci\u0105 z ubieg\u0142ego roku na poziomie 62%. Podobnie jak w przypadku kukurydzy tutaj r\u00f3wnie\u017c dane te nie zmieni\u0142y si\u0119 w uj\u0119ciu tygodniowym. Niemniej tutaj sytuacja wygl\u0105da bardziej zach\u0119caj\u0105co w kontek\u015bcie wzrost\u00f3w, bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 analiz\u0119 fundamentaln\u0105. Warto r\u00f3wnie\u017c zaznaczy\u0107, i\u017c przewa\u017cnie zbi\u00f3r kukurydzy w USA zaczyna si\u0119 kilka tygodni pr\u0119dzej od soi, co r\u00f3wnie\u017c mo\u017ce mie\u0107 prze\u0142o\u017cenie na reakcje rynkowe w przypadku nowych informacji, przede wszystkim pogodowych.<\/p>\n

\"Soybean\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sytuacja techniczna na rynku kontrakt\u00f3w na soj\u0119 tak\u017ce sugeruje, \u017ce mo\u017cliwe jest odbicie w kierunku najbli\u017cszej strefy poda\u017cowej. Warto podkre\u015bli\u0107, \u017ce ostatnim razem tak\u017ce sugerowa\u0142em pozycje d\u0142ugie z tego poziomu<\/a>, co jak si\u0119 okazuje by\u0142o s\u0142uszn\u0105 prognoz\u0105:<\/p>\n

Notowania surowca zbli\u017caj\u0105 si\u0119 do istotnego wsparcia w postaci zniesienia 50% ca\u0142ej fali wzrostowej zapocz\u0105tkowanej ju\u017c wiosn\u0105, kiedy ju\u017c w\u00f3wczas sugerowa\u0142em trend byka<\/a> pod k\u0105tem fundamentalno-technicznym. W przypadku naruszenia tego poziomu kluczowym pozostaje tak\u017ce zniesienie 23,6% fali spadkowej pod po\u0142owy 2014 roku. Bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 fundamenty rynek soi wydaje si\u0119 pierwszym w kolejce do odbicia, kiedy rynkowe ryzyko zacznie nieco opada\u0107<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Tym samym, wobec formacji podw\u00f3jnego dna na silnym wsparciu, b\u0119d\u0105 w pobli\u017cu strefy wyprzedania (RSI) ponownie warto szuka\u0107 pozycji d\u0142ugich z niewielkim ryzykiem (zlecenie obronne poni\u017cej lokalnego minimum). W szerszym kontek\u015bcie dopiero prze\u0142amanie oporu na 11,10$ mog\u0142oby generowa\u0107 dalsze zwy\u017cki.<\/p>\n

\n

Z powodu urlopu nast\u0119pne komentarze w serwisie b\u0119d\u0105 pojawia\u0107 si\u0119 od poniedzia\u0142ku 25 lipca.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Podczas ostatnich kilku sesji notowania surowc\u00f3w rolnych ponownie znalaz\u0142y si\u0119 pod presj\u0105 poda\u017cow\u0105. Niemniej jednak, bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 ostatni raport USDA nale\u017cy oczekiwa\u0107, \u017ce ceny soi w dalszym ci\u0105gu nie powinny do\u015bwiadcza\u0107 wi\u0119kszej wyprzeda\u017cy. Z drugiej strony ostatnie publikacje nie pomagaj\u0105, prowadz\u0105c do pewnej korekty, kt\u00f3ra jednak powinny by\u0107 raczej wykorzystywana do akumulacji pozycji d\u0142ugich. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10465,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nRynek zb\u00f3\u017c w odwrocie i ciekawy uk\u0142ad na soi - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Podczas ostatnich kilku sesji notowania surowc\u00f3w rolnych ponownie znalaz\u0142y si\u0119 pod presj\u0105 poda\u017cow\u0105. Niemniej jednak, bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 ostatni raport USDA\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/rynek-zboz-w-odwrocie-i-ciekawy-uklad-na-soi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rynek zb\u00f3\u017c w odwrocie i ciekawy uk\u0142ad na soi - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Podczas ostatnich kilku sesji notowania surowc\u00f3w rolnych ponownie znalaz\u0142y si\u0119 pod presj\u0105 poda\u017cow\u0105. 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