{"id":11460,"date":"2016-09-19T09:09:18","date_gmt":"2016-09-19T07:09:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=11460"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:40","slug":"monitor-rynku-surowcowego-31","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-31\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitor rynku surowcowego – poda\u017c na ropie ci\u0105\u017cy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sytuacja na rynku ropy naftowej robi si\u0119 coraz ciekawsza, w miar\u0119 zbli\u017cania si\u0119 do rozm\u00f3w w Algierze mi\u0119dzy krajami zrzeszonymi w OPEC i poza t\u0119 organizacj\u0105, kt\u00f3re odb\u0119d\u0105 si\u0119 ju\u017c w przysz\u0142ym tygodniu. Niemniej wiadomo\u015bci nie brakowa\u0142o r\u00f3wnie\u017c z innych rynk\u00f3w. Prze\u015bled\u017amy zatem kr\u00f3tko to, co wydarzy\u0142o si\u0119 na prze\u0142omie tygodnia na rynku surowcowym.<\/p>\n

Po pierwsze odnotowa\u0107 nale\u017cy bardzo nied\u017awiedzie raporty ze strony OPEC jak i IEA. Obydwie organizacje wskaza\u0142y wyra\u017anie, i\u017c czas potrzebny do zbilansowania si\u0119 popytu i poda\u017cy b\u0119dzie zdecydowanie d\u0142u\u017cszy. W odpowiedzi na te doniesienia notowania czarnego z\u0142ota zosta\u0142y mocno przecenione<\/a>, prze\u0142amuj\u0105c lini\u0119 trendow\u0105 na interwale H4. Ropie nie pomog\u0142y nawet informacje o zdecydowanie ni\u017cszym ni\u017c oczekiwano wzro\u015bcie zapas\u00f3w surowca, co w korelacji do ostatniego silnego spadku<\/a> sprawia, \u017ce na tej p\u0142aszczy\u017anie mo\u017cemy zyska\u0107 niebawem miejsce do pewnego wzrostu. Z kolei liczba aktywnych wie\u017c w USA wzros\u0142a tylko nieznacznie, niemniej by\u0142 to kolejny przyrost, co rekompensuje lepsze dane o zapasach.<\/p>\n

Ponadto z punktu widzenia bie\u017c\u0105cych wydarze\u0144 na \u015bwiecie odnotowa\u0107 nale\u017cy fakt, \u017ce cenie ropy ci\u0105\u017cy\u0142y w pi\u0105tek informacje, i\u017c zar\u00f3wno Libia jak i Nigeria maj\u0105 wkr\u00f3tce wznowi\u0107 eksport ropy, kt\u00f3ry w ostatnim czasie by\u0142 t\u0142amszony przez krajowe konfliktu zbrojne. Nigeryjski eksport ropy ma doda\u0107 do \u015bwiatowej wielko\u015bci 200 tys. brl dziennie. Libijska poda\u017c ma wzrosn\u0105\u0107 z tego tytu\u0142u o 300 tys, brl dziennie. Ponadto, lokalne w\u0142adze z kanadyjskiej prowincji Alberta zapowiedzia\u0142y, i\u017c lokalny regulator zatwierdzi\u0142 trzy nowe projekty wydobywcze ropy z tamtejszych piask\u00f3w kt\u00f3re \u0142\u0105cznie maj\u0105 dostarcza\u0107 nawet 95 tys brl dziennie.<\/p>\n

Z kolei w przypadku surowc\u00f3w rolnych otrzymali\u015bmy raport USDA, kt\u00f3ry pokaza\u0142 rekordow\u0105 rentowno\u015b\u0107 zbior\u00f3w dla soi. W przypadku kukurydzy prognoza z poprzedniego miesi\u0105ca zosta\u0142a nieco obni\u017cona, cho\u0107 nie do tego stopnia, jakiego oczekiwa\u0142 rynek. Wzros\u0142a r\u00f3wnie\u017c prognoza (cho\u0107 nieznacznie) zapas\u00f3w na koniec sezonu dla kukurydzy, wyra\u017anie spad\u0142a za\u015b dla soi. W przypadku rynku pszenicy nie ujrzeli\u015bmy wi\u0119kszych zmian. Tym samym rynek ten wydaje si\u0119 coraz ciekawsz\u0105 okazj\u0105 inwestycyjn\u0105. Wi\u0119cej o pszenicy w o obszernym raporcie fundamentalnym ju\u017c wkr\u00f3tce. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Warto r\u00f3wnie\u017c odnotowa\u0107, \u017ce na rynku z\u0142ota g\u0142\u00f3wnym sterownikiem cen wci\u0105\u017c pozostaj\u0105 rentowno\u015bci 10-letnich obligacji USA. Wzgl\u0119dem tego wska\u017anika mamy spor\u0105 przestrze\u0144 do przeceny kruszcu<\/a>. Niemniej nie nale\u017cy zapomina\u0107, \u017ce wydarzeniem numer jeden w tym tygodniu b\u0119dzie \u015brodowe posiedzenie FED, kt\u00f3re mo\u017ce zmieni\u0107 sytuacj\u0105 na rynku d\u0142ugu USA, co odbi\u0142oby si\u0119 z pewno\u015bci\u0105 zar\u00f3wno w samym dolarze jak i na rynku z\u0142ota.<\/p>\n

\"\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o:<\/a>
\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o: InsiderFX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Co w tym tygodniu? Wyciszenie i skupienie si\u0119 przede wszystkim na posiedzeniach bank\u00f3w centralnych. Dla ropy otrzymamy standardowe raporty, niemniej tutaj mo\u017cemy zobaczy\u0107 coraz wi\u0119ksz\u0105 wra\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107 cen na plotki z kraj\u00f3w OPEC i spoza kartelu, z racji zbli\u017caj\u0105cych si\u0119 rozm\u00f3w w Algierze. Rynek mo\u017ce r\u00f3wnie\u017c zacz\u0105\u0107 si\u0119 pozycjonowa\u0107 przed tym wydarzeniem.<\/p>\n

Zbo\u017ca mog\u0105 by\u0107 poddane pewnej zmienno\u015bci tak\u017ce z racji posiedzenia FED i zmienno\u015bci na dolarze, za\u015b ju\u017c dzisiaj pewne ruchy wywo\u0142a\u0107 mog\u0105 przede wszystkim dane o ameryka\u0144skim eksporcie. Dla rynku NZD r\u00f3wnie\u017c zapowiada si\u0119 pracowity tydzie\u0144. Ju\u017c dzisiaj i jutro dane z rynku mleka, za\u015b w \u015brod\u0119 wieczorem czeka nas decyzja centralnego banku Nowej Zelandii.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sytuacja na rynku ropy naftowej robi si\u0119 coraz ciekawsza, w miar\u0119 zbli\u017cania si\u0119 do rozm\u00f3w w Algierze mi\u0119dzy krajami zrzeszonymi w OPEC i poza t\u0119 organizacj\u0105, kt\u00f3re odb\u0119d\u0105 si\u0119 ju\u017c w przysz\u0142ym tygodniu. Niemniej wiadomo\u015bci nie brakowa\u0142o r\u00f3wnie\u017c z innych rynk\u00f3w. Prze\u015bled\u017amy zatem kr\u00f3tko to, co wydarzy\u0142o si\u0119 na prze\u0142omie tygodnia na rynku surowcowym. Po […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nMonitor rynku surowcowego - poda\u017c na ropie ci\u0105\u017cy - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sytuacja na rynku ropy naftowej robi si\u0119 coraz ciekawsza, w miar\u0119 zbli\u017cania si\u0119 do rozm\u00f3w w Algierze mi\u0119dzy krajami zrzeszonymi w OPEC i poza t\u0119\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-31\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monitor rynku surowcowego - 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