{"id":10882,"date":"2016-07-01T12:08:43","date_gmt":"2016-07-01T10:08:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=10882"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:45","slug":"wazne-dane-dla-rynku-surowcow-rolnych","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/wazne-dane-dla-rynku-surowcow-rolnych\/","title":{"rendered":"Bardzo wa\u017cne dane dla rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych"},"content":{"rendered":"

Wczoraj w godzinach popo\u0142udniowych ameryka\u0144ski Departament Rolnictwa (USDA) opublikowa\u0142 dwa, niezwykle wa\u017cne raporty z punktu widzenia handlu na rynku zb\u00f3\u017c, kt\u00f3re zmieniaj\u0105 nieco sytuacj\u0119 fundamentaln\u0105 dla g\u0142\u00f3wnych zb\u00f3\u017c takich jak kukurydza, pszenicy czy soja.<\/p>\n

Pierwszy z raport\u00f3w dotyczy\u0142 szacunk\u00f3w ca\u0142kowitych zasiew\u00f3w poszczeg\u00f3lnych zb\u00f3\u017c w USA. W tym przypadku soi, publikacja pokaza\u0142a 1%-owy skok w por\u00f3wnaniu do roku poprzedniego. Dla kukurydzy skok wyni\u00f3s\u0142 a\u017c 7%, za\u015b dla pszenicy prognozowane obsianie spad\u0142o a\u017c 7%.<\/p>\n

Je\u015bli chodzi o drugi raport, pokaza\u0142 on publikacje w kwestii kwartalnej zmiany poziomu zapas\u00f3w dla analogicznych towar\u00f3w. Zapasy kukurydzy wzros\u0142y 6%, zapasy soi o 39%, za\u015b zapasy pszenicy (wszystkie gatunki) o 30%. Raporty te wywo\u0142a\u0142y poka\u017an\u0105 zmienno\u015b\u0107, przede wszystkim w przypadku kukurydzy i soi.<\/p>\n

Co zmieniaj\u0105 owe publikacje? C\u00f3\u017c, w kwestii soi sprawa pozostaje do\u015b\u0107 jasna. Pomimo silnego wzrostu cen, ilo\u015b\u0107 prognozowanych obszar\u00f3w, na kt\u00f3rym zostanie posiana, wzros\u0142a tylko nieznacznie, za\u015b w obliczu k\u0142opot\u00f3w z niedoborem poda\u017cy (ostatni raport IGC pokaza\u0142 wy\u017cszy globalny poziom konsumpcji ani\u017celi produkcji) wy\u017cszy poziom zapas\u00f3w w uj\u0119ciu rocznym nie powinien stanowi\u0107 k\u0142opot\u00f3w. Takie zdanie jest r\u00f3wnie\u017c rynek, kt\u00f3ry podczas wczorajszej sesji wyrysowa\u0142 popytow\u0105 \u015bwieczk\u0119.<\/p>\n

\"Screenshot_12\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Od strony technicznej sytuacja na interwale tygodniowym ponownie zaczyna wygl\u0105da\u0107 korzystnie z punktu widzenia byk\u00f3w, co znajduje swoje potwierdzenie tak\u017ce w ostatniej publikacji USDA sprzed kilku tygodni<\/a>. Obecnie klaruje nam si\u0119 formacja obj\u0119cia hossy i to na wa\u017cnej strefie popytowej, tym samym (o ile struktura ta zostanie utrzymana do ko\u0144ca sesji – przed nami jeszcze raport IGC) niewykluczony b\u0119dzie atak na zniesienie 50% i znajduj\u0105cy si\u0119 tam op\u00f3r.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Dowiedz si\u0119 co rusza obecnie rynkami?<\/a><\/p>\n

Dla rynku kukurydzy sytuacja wygl\u0105da zgo\u0142a inaczej. O ile poziom zapas\u00f3w wzr\u00f3s\u0142 relatywnie do soi i pszenicy o niewielk\u0105 ilo\u015b\u0107, o tyle ilo\u015b\u0107 szacowanych zasiew\u00f3w wzros\u0142a do\u015b\u0107 poka\u017anie. To daje mo\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107, \u017ce nadpoda\u017c w kolejnym sezonie b\u0119dzie go\u015bci\u0142a na rynku kukurydzy, neguj\u0105c potencjalne odbicie ceny.<\/p>\n

\"Screenshot_13\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sytuacja techniczna na rynku kukurydzy z kolei powinna wkr\u00f3tce zach\u0119ca\u0107 do kupna. Silne wsparcie na wykresie tygodniowym mamy w rejonie 3,45$, sk\u0105d mo\u017cna spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 pewnego odbicia. Z drugiej strony nale\u017cy pami\u0119ta\u0107, \u017ce analiza fundamentalna w dalszym ci\u0105gu nie daje szans na bardziej d\u0142ugotrwa\u0142y wzrost. Tym samym mo\u017cna przypuszcza\u0107, \u017ce zasi\u0119g konsolidacji powinien by\u0107 kontynuowany w kolejnych miesi\u0105cach.<\/p>\n

Zobacz tak\u017ce:<\/strong> Brexit? To dopiero pocz\u0105tek. Co dalej?<\/a><\/p>\n

Z kolei do\u015b\u0107 kusz\u0105ca wygl\u0105da rynek pszenicy, przynajmniej od technicznej strony. Notowania kontakt\u00f3w na surowiec dotar\u0142y do niezwykle wa\u017cnego wsparcia na 4,41$, sk\u0105d mo\u017cemy pr\u00f3bowa\u0107 zajmowa\u0107 pozycje d\u0142ugie. W\u00f3wczas celami dla takowych mog\u0142yby by\u0107 kolejno nakre\u015blone strefy poda\u017cowe. Niemniej jednak zamkni\u0119cie si\u0119 \u015bwieczki tygodniowej poni\u017cej tego pu\u0142apu powinna zaniecha\u0107 scenariusz wzrostowy.<\/p>\n

\"WHEAT-SEP16Weekly\"<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Wczoraj w godzinach popo\u0142udniowych ameryka\u0144ski Departament Rolnictwa (USDA) opublikowa\u0142 dwa, niezwykle wa\u017cne raporty z punktu widzenia handlu na rynku zb\u00f3\u017c, kt\u00f3re zmieniaj\u0105 nieco sytuacj\u0119 fundamentaln\u0105 dla g\u0142\u00f3wnych zb\u00f3\u017c takich jak kukurydza, pszenicy czy soja. Pierwszy z raport\u00f3w dotyczy\u0142 szacunk\u00f3w ca\u0142kowitych zasiew\u00f3w poszczeg\u00f3lnych zb\u00f3\u017c w USA. W tym przypadku soi, publikacja pokaza\u0142a 1%-owy skok w por\u00f3wnaniu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10340,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nBardzo wa\u017cne dane dla rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wczoraj w godzinach popo\u0142udniowych ameryka\u0144ski Departament Rolnictwa (USDA) opublikowa\u0142 dwa, niezwykle wa\u017cne raporty z punktu widzenia handlu na rynku\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/wazne-dane-dla-rynku-surowcow-rolnych\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bardzo wa\u017cne dane dla rynku surowc\u00f3w rolnych - 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