{"id":11297,"date":"2016-08-22T09:34:38","date_gmt":"2016-08-22T07:34:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/?p=11297"},"modified":"2026-03-22T20:14:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T19:14:42","slug":"monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitor rynku surowcowego"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pod koniec ubieg\u0142ego tygodnia pisa\u0142em o mo\u017cliwym wyczerpywaniu si\u0119 wzrostowego impetu na rynku ropy naftowej<\/a>, maj\u0105c na uwadze to, na co wskazuje obecnie model pokazuj\u0105cy „warto\u015b\u0107 sprawiedliw\u0105” dla ceny ropy na podstawie danych fundamentalnych.<\/p>\n

Pocz\u0105tek nowego tygodnia przynosi za\u015b przecen\u0119 na rynku czarnego z\u0142ota, na co sk\u0142adaj\u0105 si\u0119 dwa czynniki. Po pierwsze szerokie odbicie na dolarze, po komentarzach ze strony wiceszefa FED Stanley’a Fischera, kt\u00f3ry wci\u0105\u017c wydaje si\u0119 wspiera\u0107 wrze\u015bniow\u0105 podwy\u017ck\u0119 st\u00f3p. Po drugie doniesienia z Iraku, kt\u00f3re to pa\u0144stwo ma zwi\u0119kszy\u0107 eksport surowca o oko\u0142o 5% w nadchodz\u0105cych dniach po uzgodnieniu porozumienia w kwestii wznowienia dostaw z trzech p\u00f3l naftowych.<\/p>\n

To wszystko zbiega si\u0119 z tym, co wskazywa\u0142em w pi\u0105tkowym wpisie. Niemniej jednak wraz ze zbli\u017caniem si\u0119 do nieformalnych rozm\u00f3w w Algierze, jakie maj\u0105 mie\u0107 miejsce pod koniec wrze\u015bnia, nie mo\u017cna wykluczy\u0107 jeszcze spekulacyjnych wzrost\u00f3w. Z drugiej strony trzeba wiedzie\u0107, \u017ce zamro\u017cenie produkcji na obecnych poziomach nie b\u0119dzie wielkim osi\u0105gni\u0119ciem, wraz z Arabi\u0105 Saudyjsk\u0105 pompuj\u0105c\u0105 rekordowe ilo\u015bci surowca oraz Iranem, kt\u00f3ry w pe\u0142ni odzyska\u0142 zdolno\u015b\u0107 eksportow\u0105 po zniesieniu sankcji.<\/p>\n

Sprawd\u017a:<\/strong> Czy funt zaczyna podnosi\u0107 si\u0119 z kolan?<\/a><\/p>\n

W minionym tygodniu bez w\u0105tpienia korzystn\u0105 informacj\u0105 by\u0142 spadek zapas\u00f3w, zar\u00f3wno wed\u0142ug API jak i oficjalnego raportu EIA. Z drugiej strony liczba wie\u017c oraz produkcja surowca w USA ponownie wzros\u0142y, co t\u0142umi popytowy urok na ropie.<\/p>\n

\"Produkcja
Produkcja ropy i liczba aktywnych wie\u017c wiertniczych w USA, \u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o: InsiderFX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Z pozosta\u0142ych rynk\u00f3w, mo\u017cna by rzec, \u017ce niewiele si\u0119 dzia\u0142o. Na kluczowych surowcach zesz\u0142y tydzie\u0144 nie przyni\u00f3s\u0142 wi\u0119kszych zmian, z kolei dla rynku dolara nowozelandzkiego ponownie korzystnie wypad\u0142a aukcja mleka. Ceny surowca wzros\u0142y a\u017c o 19%, co by\u0142o najwi\u0119kszym wzrostem od wrze\u015bnia poprzedniego roku. Tym samym wzgl\u0119dem tego surowca notowania NZDUSD znajduj\u0105 si\u0119 ju\u017c bardzo blisko r\u00f3wnowagi, ograniczaj\u0105c potencja\u0142 spadkowy.<\/p>\n

Z drugiej strony coraz ni\u017csze stopy procentowe i odradzaj\u0105ce si\u0119 nadzieje co do podwy\u017cki w USA powinny ci\u0105\u017cy\u0107 na kiwi, o czym m\u00f3wi\u0142em przy okazji ostatniego komentarza wideo<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o:
\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o: InsiderFX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Kolejny tydzie\u0144 b\u0119dzie ponownie do\u015b\u0107 spokojny, z rynku ropy poznamy standardowe publikacje, zatem uwaga ponownie skupi si\u0119 na wie\u017cach, tempie produkcji i zapasach. Je\u015bli chodzi o zbo\u017ca jedyn\u0105, wa\u017cniejsz\u0105 publikacj\u0105 b\u0119dzie raport IGC dotycz\u0105cy nowych prognoz w popycie, poda\u017cy zb\u00f3\u017c.<\/p>\n

W tym wszystkim nie nale\u017cy zapomina\u0107 o fakcie, \u017ce to notowania ameryka\u0144skiego dolara mog\u0105 odgrywa\u0107 najwi\u0119ksz\u0105 rol\u0119 w najbli\u017cszych dniach. Wraz ze zbli\u017caniem si\u0119 do sympozjum w Jackson Hole (pocz\u0105tek w ten pi\u0105tek) zmienno\u015b\u0107 na USD mo\u017ce podskoczy\u0107, a to naturalnie mo\u017ce mie\u0107 prze\u0142o\u017cenie na surowce denominowane w tej walucie. Rynek spodziewa si\u0119, \u017ce Yellen zasygnalizuje na tym\u017ce spotkaniu, i\u017c podwy\u017cka we wrze\u015bniu jest naprawd\u0119 mo\u017cliwa.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pod koniec ubieg\u0142ego tygodnia pisa\u0142em o mo\u017cliwym wyczerpywaniu si\u0119 wzrostowego impetu na rynku ropy naftowej, maj\u0105c na uwadze to, na co wskazuje obecnie model pokazuj\u0105cy „warto\u015b\u0107 sprawiedliw\u0105” dla ceny ropy na podstawie danych fundamentalnych. Pocz\u0105tek nowego tygodnia przynosi za\u015b przecen\u0119 na rynku czarnego z\u0142ota, na co sk\u0142adaj\u0105 si\u0119 dwa czynniki. Po pierwsze szerokie odbicie na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11297","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archiwum-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nMonitor rynku surowcowego - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pod koniec ubieg\u0142ego tygodnia pisa\u0142em o mo\u017cliwym wyczerpywaniu si\u0119 wzrostowego impetu na rynku ropy naftowej, maj\u0105c na uwadze to, na co wskazuje obecnie\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monitor rynku surowcowego - InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pod koniec ubieg\u0142ego tygodnia pisa\u0142em o mo\u017cliwym wyczerpywaniu si\u0119 wzrostowego impetu na rynku ropy naftowej, maj\u0105c na uwadze to, na co wskazuje obecnie\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/en\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InsiderFX | Finanse bez stresu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/arkadiuszbalcerowski.insiderfx\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-08-22T07:34:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-22T19:14:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/surowce-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"960\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Arkadiusz Balcerowski\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Insider_FX\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Insider_FX\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Arkadiusz Balcerowski\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Arkadiusz Balcerowski\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/#\/schema\/person\/761938215d79173b7ff21e0a441c1959\"},\"headline\":\"Monitor rynku surowcowego\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-08-22T07:34:38+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-22T19:14:42+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\"},\"wordCount\":524,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/surowce-1.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Archiwum analiz\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/insiderfx.pl\/monitor-rynku-surowcowego-28\/\",\"name\":\"Monitor rynku surowcowego - 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